๐Ÿช™ Probability Betting Game

Test your probability intuition with dice, cards, and coins

Instructions

  • 1 Bet on outcomes of dice rolls, card draws, and coin flips
  • 2 Identify opportunities where the odds favor you
  • 3 Decide how much to bet based on your confidence
  • 4 Use the Kelly Criterion to optimize your bets
  • 5 Try to maximize your balance before time runs out

Game Settings

Enjoying the demo?

Create an account to access the full game with more features:

  • Round-by-round performance analysis
  • Opportunity recognition statistics
  • Optimal betting recommendations
  • Kelly criterion calculations
  • Advanced betting pattern insights
  • Play with up to 6 events per category
  • More variation in betting events
๐ŸŽฒ

Betting Odds Game – Quick Start Guide

Start with 1,000 coins and grow your bankroll by identifying mispriced odds and sizing your bets optimally. Beat the house by finding favorable odds!

๐ŸŽฐ How the Game Works

Each round features a number of independent events for the outcome of the following elements:

  • Two dice ๐ŸŽฒ๐ŸŽฒ are rolled (six-sided)
  • Two cards ๐Ÿƒ๐Ÿƒ are dealt from a standard deck
  • Three coins ๐Ÿช™๐Ÿช™๐Ÿช™ are flipped

You can bet on various outcomes like:

  • “Both dice show even numbers”
  • “Sum of cards is greater than 10”
  • “Exactly two coins show heads”

๐Ÿ“Š Understanding Odds

The house presents odds in fractional format (e.g., 3:1)

  • 3:1 means risking 1 coin to win 3 coins profit
  • To find implied probability: denominator รท (numerator + denominator)
  • Example: 3:1 odds = 1รท(3+1) = 25% implied probability

๐Ÿ’ก Basic Strategy

  1. Calculate true probability of each event
  2. Compare to house odds – if house offers better odds, bet!
  3. Size your bets using Kelly Criterion
  4. Look for arbitrage – combine bets for guaranteed profit

๐Ÿ” Special Bets

  • Put: Wins if the total result of all your normal bets results in a loss
  • Call: Wins if the total result of all your normal bets results in a profit
  • Use these to hedge, create arbitrage opportunities or amplify your bet

โšก Quick Tips

  • Multiple favorable bets in one round compound your edge
  • Time matters – if you’re quick, you can play many rounds!

๐Ÿ“š Want a deeper dive? Check out the full lesson and explanation โ†’

This game is independently developed by Trading Interview B.V. and is protected intellectual property. This proprietary tool is provided for student interview preparation only and may not be reproduced or reverse-engineered.